Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef333e095c56a526961ce18346890063f2d3f69cd5e9bc506dcad23ae33a6b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 35c | 31,662$11,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,025 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 25,786$16,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,975.63 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,911$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 61c | 1,760$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.19 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 70c | 1,169$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.27 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 1,041$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.27 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 725$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 65c | 324$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 62c | 157.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 65c | 143.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…b18ebacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 70c | 34.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-10-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.