South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e0c90c8787b03f1a85094aedd25b4b737740aeb791d5788992fb932bfb543d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500.32 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 46c | 14,959$6,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.61 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 11,336$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.74 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 24c | 4,975$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.72 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 4,029$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 52c | 2,259$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.11 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 47c | 1,729$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 47c | 1,366$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.2 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 45c | 1,337$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 55c | 1,166$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 49c | 721.1$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 49c | 396.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 372.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 51c | 338$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 24c | 281.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4a…a43abacked Yes | 76c | 270.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 24c | 224.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 48c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 129.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 78c | 127.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 79c | 101.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…d7f9backed Yes | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…ce95backed Yes | 52c | 90.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 53c | 89.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 51c | 74.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 53c | 65.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 47c | 56.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…9618backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…6e5ebacked Yes | 53c | 44.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 47c | 44.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…692cbacked Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will EC Bahia vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-10-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.