TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Favbetof Favbet, ex-Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity23c1,661$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.965,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b9…65a5backed ex-Zero Tenacity25c1,201$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9952636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc6d…c521backed ex-Zero Tenacity25c1,111$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…2cd6backed ex-Zero Tenacity25c1,078$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Favbet74c1,000$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Favbet75c846.45$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6987244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf2…e56abacked ex-Zero Tenacity26c844$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530d…8720backed ex-Zero Tenacity26c815$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb934…6cafbacked ex-Zero Tenacity26c798$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…09cfbacked Favbet75c665$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…0753backed Favbet74c648$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb9…deaebacked Favbet75c589$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefe…a0d2backed ex-Zero Tenacity24c582$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ac…6b00backed Favbet75c545$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity20c538$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc461…97f0backed Favbet75c536$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc334…8a9abacked Favbet75c533$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd2…b33cbacked Favbet74c524$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3a…a68cbacked Favbet75c522$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d1…8458backed Favbet74c486$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d4…7e8ebacked Favbet74c329$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc78…a592backed Favbet76c322$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3b…bb7bbacked Favbet74c320$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+107.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed ex-Zero Tenacity15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa546…fa04backed Favbet76c260$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Favbet74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Favbet77c184.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8714863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity8c157.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.642,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9bca…7d09backed Favbet74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed ex-Zero Tenacity21c140$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Favbet80c139$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4729840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Favbet77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8721867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed ex-Zero Tenacity23c112$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.768733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3992…d396backed Favbet77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ex-Zero Tenacity35c85.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b0…b9ccbacked ex-Zero Tenacity12c83.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed ex-Zero Tenacity17c83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8446344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed ex-Zero Tenacity17c83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8429244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ex-Zero Tenacity15c66.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-Zero Tenacity24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f4…ba36backed ex-Zero Tenacity28c59.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked ex-Zero Tenacity20c57.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2341640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity20c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.635,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Favbet73c52.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Favbet74c39.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Favbet74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48f…be42backed Favbet74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Favbet79c24.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0826257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Favbet74c20.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f50…e59ebacked Favbet73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.411758.1%68 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…19b0backed Favbet77c14.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.