CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08075a1995981c86585ceecfdac50c2603e4acaac7582dc2a6900ebf94f76dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof BIG, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG | 62c | 4,727$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.04 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed BIG | 52c | 3,680$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.01 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 2,829$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed BIG | 1c | 2,509$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked BIG | 4c | 2,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +224.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,819$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.34 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked BIG | 3c | 1,600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3fd0backed BIG | 3c | 1,600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +200%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,516$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 1,456$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.06 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed BIG | 3c | 1,200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed BIG | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed BIG | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG | 49c | 981.13$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.95 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 58c | 979.12$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 940.7$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.79 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked BIG | 56c | 888$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.28 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed BIG | 74c | 814.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed BIG | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 5cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked BIG | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 788.27$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 707.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BIG | 66c | 596.47$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BIG | 56c | 581.96$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.82 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BIG | 63c | 580.98$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 532.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 438.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 356.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed BIG | 67c | 346.09$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed BIG | 77c | 323.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 310.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 286.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 283$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 280.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1814…eb8abacked BIG | 64c | 271.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 234.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked BIG | 63c | 224.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 222.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 64c | 216.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 216.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 212.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 211.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked BIG | 67c | 208.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG | 67c | 174.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…f355backed BIG | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed BIG | 70c | 170$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 168$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BIG | 59c | 160.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed BIG | 75c | 160.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 159$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 156$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 153.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed BIG | 67c | 148.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 136$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 131.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked BIG | 50c | 131.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked BIG | 62c | 129.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 118.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed BIG | 49c | 114.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 112.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 111.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…a2b4backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 108.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…2623backed BIG | 76c | 95.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BIG | 64c | 85.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BIG | 55c | 69.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 69.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked BIG | 74c | 68.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BIG | 74c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed BIG | 45c | 58.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed BIG | 52c | 54.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed BIG | 71c | 52.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…252cbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked BIG | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 46.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…d9d0backed BIG | 58c | 46.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…938dbacked BIG | 58c | 43.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked BIG | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…55b5backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 40.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed BIG | 68c | 38.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f30…a688backed BIG | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BIG | 58c | 35.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed BIG | 74c | 31.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…a963backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed BIG | 61c | 30.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…1559backed BIG | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 28.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 23.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed BIG | 61c | 21.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…6ceebacked BIG | 60c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…a846backed BIG | 65c | 16.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.