CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3849a45559aab1555f8ea3995b01eb9fb4e1f03b6de2cc0a26df3952ed80fd28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,241 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 804.73$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Team Nemesis | 2c | 589.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BIG | 67c | 240.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed BIG | 50c | 126.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 65c | 125.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 102.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG | 57c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 77.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BIG | 75c | 69.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked BIG | 33c | 58.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 48.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 41.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.