CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 9z (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x870d1b5c9eb4a366475c5c087370b95040e6ed757a84f0f28631a5ae8fabbd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Sharks, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,712 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed 9z | 67c | 4,925$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.69 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 34c | 2,175$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed 9z | 64c | 2,042$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sharks | 28c | 773.41$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Sharks | 39c | 733.69$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…5a0fbacked Sharks | 41c | 676$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Sharks | 44c | 583.36$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Sharks | 42c | 522.82$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 9z | 59c | 505$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Sharks | 39c | 455.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 9z | 60c | 455$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Sharks | 33c | 399.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Sharks | 38c | 368.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 9z | 58c | 355.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sharks | 40c | 350$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Sharks | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Sharks | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +224.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed 9z | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Sharks | 28c | 293.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Sharks | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 24c | 251.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 9z | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Sharks | 47c | 189.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 43c | 189.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed 9z | 56c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Sharks | 14c | 170.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sharks | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed 9z | 61c | 134.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…19f5backed 9z | 77c | 130.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sharks | 30c | 123.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Sharks | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…a126backed Sharks | 50c | 113.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Sharks | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Sharks | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Sharks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sharks | 48c | 100.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Sharks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…2b43backed 9z | 56c | 99.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed 9z | 62c | 95.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Sharks | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Sharks | 43c | 89.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Sharks | 29c | 81.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked 9z | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Sharks | 46c | 75.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sharks | 43c | 74.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Sharks | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…252cbacked 9z | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Sharks | 44c | 58.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked 9z | 64c | 57.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Sharks | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed 9z | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked 9z | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Sharks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 38c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sharks | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Sharks | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Sharks | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sharks | 46c | 38.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Sharks | 26c | 38.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Sharks | 30c | 37.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Sharks | 44c | 34.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Sharks | 42c | 30.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed 9z | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed 9z | 49c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed 9z | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Sharks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51f…b4cdbacked 9z | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.