TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c42,200$22,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,925.344,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c29,149$14,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,210.671,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over42c11,940$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over49c8,453$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.858351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under49c6,999$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.4760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over53c4,106$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.956170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over44c4,098$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.927265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over47c3,848$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.926764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over42c3,560$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.273740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over61c3,500$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1406468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over54c1,998$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.936879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over47c1,928$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.946563.1%41 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under62c1,774$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.19944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over52c1,733$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.949466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c1,709$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9271,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over51c1,400$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over15c1,400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+203.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c1,353$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under32c1,235$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.597950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over53c1,136$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over44c1,000$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Under68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over40c999.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.991963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c805.37$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over72c680.56$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over43c648.84$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2798041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under28c632.53$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4248153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…21a8backed Over50c600.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Over39c580$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Over72c517.58$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.491070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205229.1%2 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff1a…4475backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ec…0ce2backed Over74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7990…53d0backed Over74c499.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under28c481.66$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under10c450.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under38c430.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9411736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c406.26$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8513251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under14c400.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.5983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under25c384.44$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over47c355.62$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.851241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684c…93dfbacked Over59c321$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.391030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under65c308.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4423957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2195650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under26c299.04$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.295119.6%10 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c297.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.972,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over36c278.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over72c273.96$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.255862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under52c273.13$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.226154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under6c255.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6620142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under57c249.51$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5522760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.812044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over46c217.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under28c211.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5635759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over51c202.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.526225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over35c201.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.494259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick5cpaid+283.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c199.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…8be4backed Over40c194.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Over53c166.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.711540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over68c160$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.83953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under10c160$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.68510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under10c159.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.599611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under28c159.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.113953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over71c158.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5512875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under65c154.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5920050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c134.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.683,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over75c133.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0142458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c123.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3444424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Under69c118.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.54367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over40c110.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2216363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Under60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over74c103.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.474845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under43c102.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.511366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under26c101.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7062744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.954854.2%26 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over39c99.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9911741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.