Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b9d547786ade247dba78e12c650c766fd6347c665d671ee8625c7ee0882783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 5,708$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 5,387$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.49 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Yes | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 2,558$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 59c | 2,544$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.87 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 22c | 1,900$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.46 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 1,445$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.6 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 27c | 1,074$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.07 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 42c | 761.9$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 61c | 505.47$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 68c | 338.52$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 301.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 11c | 299.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 63c | 285.48$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 41c | 234.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 63c | 170$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 168.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 143.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 141.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 118.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 30c | 115.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 43c | 108.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 88.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 78.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 30c | 77.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 36c | 61.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 18c | 61.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 47c | 58.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 25c | 57.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 68c | 55.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…1c1cbacked Yes | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 60c | 50.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 60c | 48.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 47.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 60c | 44.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…2a5abacked Yes | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 60c | 38.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 31c | 36.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Yes | 42c | 34.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Yes | 46c | 31.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 49c | 26.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 79c | 20.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed Yes | 75c | 19.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 75c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Yes | 75c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.