Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b5ccfb580b4e99475133a0fba3566ae7cc248a3193700e851a1f3274f754f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 5,968$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.93 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…4ca2backed Yes | 47c | 5,095$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…f517backed Yes | 47c | 2,849$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 2,843$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.49 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 47c | 2,723$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,497$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.55 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 2,125$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.76 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,501$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 1,026$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.27 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 927.37$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.59 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 54c | 901.57$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 53c | 687.63$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.19 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 676.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 672$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 47c | 589.35$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 484.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 477.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.06 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 69c | 446.88$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 384.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 325.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 270.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 235.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes | 6c | 234.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 234.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 53c | 206.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 192.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 187.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…e06fbacked Yes | 48c | 157.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 69c | 112.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 69c | 112.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 55c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 32c | 93.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 46c | 89.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 43c | 75.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f18…f384backed No | 55c | 66.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 80c | 49.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 39.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 55c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 47c | 32.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Yes | 47c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 45c | 24.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 53c | 22.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked No | 65c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.