Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2cc1b6586025d5720d715f41bcd2d532e6f479d65713d7c2f2d760a81eba361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 5,037$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.24 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 4,181$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.81 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 52c | 2,135$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,648$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 1,589$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.83 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 79c | 1,237$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 56c | 1,116$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Yes | 52c | 692.3$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 48c | 666.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 32c | 643.48$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 35c | 611.43$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Yes | 60c | 597.69$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.13 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 40c | 502.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 500$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Yes | 56c | 492.05$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 27c | 481.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Yes | 52c | 422.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 379$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Yes | 52c | 272$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Yes | 56c | 255.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 71c | 243.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 232.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 230.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 52c | 209.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 49c | 197.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 19c | 195.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 23c | 177.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Yes | 66c | 168.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 118.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Yes | 52c | 106.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 63cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 49c | 104.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 104.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 102.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 49c | 97.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 52c | 96.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 66c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 81.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Yes | 74c | 74.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 51c | 73.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 26c | 65.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 34c | 63.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 48c | 62.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 56c | 57.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 34c | 56.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 53.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Yes | 67c | 53.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 52c | 49.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 57c | 49.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 48c | 44.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 41.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 55c | 38.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Yes | 67c | 37.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Yes | 49c | 36.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 50c | 36.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 54c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 51c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Yes | 52c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…f957backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.