Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3307d6d5f6ce586f3d60cb7c6e4843f1ef32f29a04aa416d20bf014b2c6acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 2,976$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.93 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 38c | 2,025$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.23 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 19c | 715.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 46c | 552.42$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.75 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 20c | 542.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 389$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 15c | 331$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 12c | 291.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 40c | 232.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 29c | 231.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 220.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.14 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 210.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 42c | 204$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 192.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 28c | 186.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 78c | 180.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 46c | 173.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 51c | 158.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 22c | 119.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 52c | 95.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 88.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…ed8bbacked Yes | 73c | 83.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 54c | 79.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 72.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 73c | 61.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 73c | 55.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 26c | 55.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 37c | 54.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 27c | 53.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 29c | 50.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…bfbebacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 74c | 45.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 80c | 44.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 73c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 45c | 41.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 47c | 40.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 18.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 77c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 74c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.