TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac1a…de91backed Yes0c13,490$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c6,146$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.265,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes29c5,210$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.297832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c4,066$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.622,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes33c1,943$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes40c1,530$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9826052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes70c1,428$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No33c993.89$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.639954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No30c940.19$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.8640448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes32c690.44$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9421830.7%67 W · 151 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No65c610.38$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2627639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes35c562.29$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5128532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c499.07$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes41c492.8$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.053652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes70c491.54$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0847155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c473.58$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.831,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes42c471.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No30c450$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31539649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No34c436.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.061,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No52c416.58$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1118952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a60…1c0dbacked Yes61c329.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes68c296.81$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.837353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c292.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0184347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No34c266.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6793446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c237.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.922,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Yes71c225.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No30c217$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.910846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes25c188$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Yes70c171.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes42c166.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes68c164.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.791353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No32c150.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…807ebacked Yes46c148.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c143.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.881,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes27c140.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.981866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No32c139.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1917545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No30c136.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7238849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c127.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes47c126.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.086636.4%24 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de3…8df2backed No68c112.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes65c107.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed Yes48c104.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No32c99.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.972955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No31c90.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3210344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No62c83.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.714823%34 W · 114 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked No28c82.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.371258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2f…bf2bbacked Yes70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.620138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes32c68.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes33c67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9844152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Yes32c62.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.923043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes32c59.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.194744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No35c56.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.892152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes49c54.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.596043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes38c51.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205149%25 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes69c50.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6847860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes69c50.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6834558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.513655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No67c42.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2215971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes47c42.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205064%32 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fb…67b9backed Yes33c42.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes35c40.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2815240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No32c40.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.185250%26 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes67c34.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.831,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No57c33.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3573850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes68c31.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.664768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No33c30.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7142351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37948.1%38 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes66c29.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7920860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c8a…23d0backed Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63b…5c51backed No73c27.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed No65c27.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.542657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f8…898ebacked No40c27.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No68c26.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.423473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed No62c26.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.511347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db7…e4b0backed Yes68c23.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No68c21.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.095352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No49c20.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.284077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes71c20.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.397574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.646759.7%40 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa063…338fbacked Yes71c19.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes66c19.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5919856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No75c18.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5415470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes72c18.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No60c17.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.135761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes66c15.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1354354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.