Asian League · resolved market
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc8c78eda79ade97956dba9bf9eab7206e09111b0fd180b5111cfdbd49afb5f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 7,662$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.84 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 3,229$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.4 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 13c | 1,890$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,800$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 16c | 1,441$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.57 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 11c | 1,213$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.39 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 46c | 1,068$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 43c | 760$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 75c | 666$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 50c | 501.29$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 453.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 32c | 376.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.86 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 292.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 76c | 264.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 11c | 260.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 35c | 194.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 148.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 37c | 132.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed No | 62c | 114.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes | 27c | 111.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…16cdbacked No | 16c | 91.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 47c | 87.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…7380backed Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 61c | 65.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 53.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked No | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 76c | 37.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…eccdbacked Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 36c | 30.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…65b4backed Yes | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…4a1bbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 42c | 27.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Yes | 68c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 76c | 24.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 57c | 22.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed No | 76c | 21.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 63c | 20.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 57c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 57c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 72c | 17.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed No | 62c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 62c | 16.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 74c | 15.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.