Asian League · resolved market
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6346b79f559596556216523905dd792ed418d2b674dcb3fc848134719677f51d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b17…a31dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,807$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 44c | 4,184$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff07…7db3backed Yes | 1c | 3,510$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 2,986$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.09 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 2,709$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.61 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 44c | 1,657$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,494$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.99 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 43c | 1,479$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 57c | 932.96$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.59 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 36c | 561.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 513.48$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 485.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 62c | 231.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 41c | 175.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 55c | 157.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 58c | 112.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 109.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 34c | 106.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 37c | 105.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 99.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 46c | 89.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 57c | 87.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 61c | 83.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 46c | 82.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 77.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 34c | 67.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 36c | 67.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 64.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 21c | 61.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 50.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 68c | 46.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 45.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 43.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 35c | 43.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 39c | 41.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 27c | 38.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 64c | 36.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 35.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Yes | 44c | 32.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 42c | 30.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 67c | 28.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 26.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 57c | 26.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 66c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed Yes | 53c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 63c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.