Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde75e6d4f5480cc54a87af8a684908c154a2b0f0bad8409d0ac268c8b4d9f611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 49c | 9,462$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.36 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 4,443$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.05 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,072$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.27 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 51c | 2,761$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 2,429$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 2,083$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.93 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,045$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.18 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 880.7$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 764.11$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.27 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked Under | 52c | 752$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 640.66$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 611.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 608.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 49c | 600$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 555.37$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 482.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 43c | 344.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 50c | 299.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 216.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Over | 76c | 209.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 198.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 28c | 167$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 136.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 51c | 114$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 105.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 71c | 102.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 55c | 72.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 69.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 43c | 68.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 65.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 16c | 64.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2ebbbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 49.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 24c | 47.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 24c | 43.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 31.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 29.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 48c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Over | 40c | 27.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 24.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Under | 66c | 24.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 51c | 23.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 50c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5this page
- New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.