Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2efe8f9af525f4e46dec7c1222cd1ae0938ee1ace0a7a2fc52649fb0ef40d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 5,907$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.81 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 52c | 3,848$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.95 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 3,746$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.47 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 10c | 3,326$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.35 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 3,025$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 2,524$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 51c | 2,267$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 52c | 2,194$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 49c | 1,934$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.22 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked No | 52c | 1,406$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 16c | 1,359$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 51c | 899.99$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.4 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 891.28$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.84 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 702.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 48c | 525$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 49c | 406$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 253.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 51c | 239.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 52c | 202.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 201.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes | 79c | 197.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Yes | 49c | 117.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 53c | 113.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 49c | 105.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 60c | 99.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 49c | 83.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 76c | 80.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 48c | 68.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 51c | 59.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 58.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…f50dbacked No | 31c | 57.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6059…2800backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…aae1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 50c | 39.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…264abacked Yes | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…d685backed Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2622…1435backed Yes | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 72c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +207.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed No | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…4478backed No | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 20.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…54f1backed Yes | 74c | 20.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Yes | 66c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.