Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ef05aa324fcc23288ad8330af8f9b2bf405f695c8a9045a7e1ef8f9d8ddb930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 29c | 10,222$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 74c | 6,339$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 6,203$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.21 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 26c | 2,938$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 73c | 1,631$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,044$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.19 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 1,005$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 74c | 947.09$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 475$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 378.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 27c | 359.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 354.44$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 27c | 345$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 74c | 282$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 236.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 223.48$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 207.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 7c | 204.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 161.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 69c | 157$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 140.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 130.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 115.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 26c | 113.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 100.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 73c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No | 77c | 54.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 43.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 73c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed No | 71c | 28.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 73c | 27.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.