CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc05fbec5e8abc6413e2858f8b33cb44f0160b71a4ff9105ed623ef9271554420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Gentle Mates, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 540.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Sinners | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sinners | 60c | 425.9$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Gentle Mates | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners | 55c | 267.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 169.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 165.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 101.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Sinners | 59c | 79.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 73.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 64c | 65.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Sinners | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 40.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked Sinners | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Sinners | 38c | 36.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 35.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 35.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sinners | 34c | 34.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Gentle Mates | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.