CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0395140acafc8af6d3be5e0d568e4167ca143a4286f54dec49218ce934689304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Gentle Mates, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sinners | 45c | 921.11$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.61 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 867.89$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.57 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sinners | 56c | 835.25$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 703.95$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.44 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sinners | 22c | 600.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.36 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sinners | 54c | 550.55$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.89 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Sinners | 12c | 512.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Sinners | 76c | 483.09$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 410.81$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 335.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Sinners | 62c | 321.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 312.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Gentle Mates | 11c | 283.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Sinners | 68c | 274.85$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked Sinners | 56c | 259.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…699dbacked Gentle Mates | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 238.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…f6a4backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 206.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 195.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Sinners | 36c | 184.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 168.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Sinners | 56c | 155.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sinners | 42c | 148.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Sinners | 49c | 137.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Sinners | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners | 29c | 127.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 122.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 121.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Sinners | 31c | 109.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Gentle Mates | 18c | 101.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 93.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 54c | 90.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Sinners | 40c | 83.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 82.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 81.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Sinners | 54c | 71.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 69.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed Sinners | 47c | 65.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…3d70backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 52.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 52.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sinners | 36c | 48.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Sinners | 78c | 45.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 31 | 96.8%30 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 77cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 402 | 55.2%222 W · 180 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sinners | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Sinners | 49c | 37.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…7ce7backed Sinners | 46c | 34.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Gentle Mates | 76c | 25.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…b2b3backed Sinners | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.