CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754bea523460b9b1c8a31f52cbc2ebcee82936733a722032b6ca3cff89e73067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Sinners | 46c | 1,697$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 1,420$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.11 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sinners | 56c | 631.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 492.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 439.48$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sinners | 36c | 312$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 51c | 263.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 240.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Sinners | 51c | 238.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Sinners | 67c | 181$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 176.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 162.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Sinners | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 109.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Sinners | 78c | 100.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 98.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 60c | 84.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 78.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 71.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Sinners | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sinners | 62c | 53.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Sinners | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sinners | 40c | 44.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Gentle Mates | 27c | 39.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 28.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sinners | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Sinners | 39c | 26.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Sinners | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.