Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dde26935c15f2b05fe7d1c55ba8d32c9b1fb2590396469e7efaaaf966a62d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 43c | 989.84$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.23 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 57c | 687.83$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.91 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 52c | 466.8$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.77 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked Over | 57c | 246.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 47c | 213.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 53c | 205.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 48c | 189.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 48c | 145.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 108.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 102.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked Over | 57c | 97.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 66.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 64.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 61.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…0f2abacked Over | 48c | 47.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 46.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 53c | 36.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 51c | 33.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 51c | 30.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 56c | 18.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.