Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f4a862df12cb7f265859801146037c442ee19435361a06dcbd2252e60317cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Cheeki_Breeki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 5,052$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.36 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 47c | 3,134$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.18 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 1,613$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.78 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 58c | 669.85$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.72 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 356.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 8c | 316.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 55c | 299.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 273.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…72c1backed Cheeki_Breeki | 36c | 266.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 57c | 262.07$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 207.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 199.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cheeki_Breeki | 14c | 127.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cheeki_Breeki | 33c | 118.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 113.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 104.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Cheeki_Breeki | 20c | 96.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 95.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…95e5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 13c | 86.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 71.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 64.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…cbb0backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 56.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 25c | 53.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Cheeki_Breeki | 55c | 48.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 45.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 43.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 34.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cheeki_Breeki | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Cheeki_Breeki | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 27.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Cheeki_Breeki | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.