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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Cheeki_Breeki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity46c32,991$15,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,949.5515457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Cheeki_Breeki52c10,414$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.6271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cheeki_Breeki55c8,119$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,450.5845750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Zero Tenacity44c4,647$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.754734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cheeki_Breeki55c4,020$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.6496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Cheeki_Breeki52c3,674$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.7913854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Cheeki_Breeki57c2,886$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.6447046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Cheeki_Breeki51c1,902$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.218258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Cheeki_Breeki41c1,717$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.3544645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Cheeki_Breeki55c1,616$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.726842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Cheeki_Breeki1c1,275$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Cheeki_Breeki1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Cheeki_Breeki73c979.55$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.5423736.7%87 W · 150 L-17.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cheeki_Breeki54c976.37$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.0834051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Cheeki_Breeki55c862.08$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0236759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity23c839.53$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.551,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Zero Tenacity56c827.76$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36141055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Cheeki_Breeki60c712.32$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Cheeki_Breeki48c680.16$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.491,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Zero Tenacity53c503.72$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1246150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Cheeki_Breeki40c483.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7857449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cheeki_Breeki56c457.24$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.381,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Cheeki_Breeki54c404.74$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9891356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki53c399.38$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.252,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cheeki_Breeki6c399$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7969033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Cheeki_Breeki60c395.28$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1761548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Cheeki_Breeki60c390.4$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.244353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cheeki_Breeki4c384.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8135032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Cheeki_Breeki64c363.69$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.467341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Cheeki_Breeki62c350.58$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5486659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Cheeki_Breeki72c347.93$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0424138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Cheeki_Breeki60c325.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.25242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Cheeki_Breeki64c315.5$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Zero Tenacity50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Cheeki_Breeki60c290.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3419458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Cheeki_Breeki60c289.38$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.638850%44 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Cheeki_Breeki60c288.21$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9313850%69 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Zero Tenacity56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11033867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Cheeki_Breeki50c226.65$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.520858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cheeki_Breeki55c210.28$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.381,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Cheeki_Breeki45c203.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.731,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Cheeki_Breeki51c188.41$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0939042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Zero Tenacity74c173.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5121650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x45da…72febacked Cheeki_Breeki60c162.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.63336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked Cheeki_Breeki65c151.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.889058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Cheeki_Breeki60c146.4$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…ae59backed Zero Tenacity67c142.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.421566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity61c115.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4773554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Cheeki_Breeki36c105.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.486448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Zero Tenacity43c102.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1827357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Cheeki_Breeki60c100.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5164123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361a…783fbacked Cheeki_Breeki10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Cheeki_Breeki45c98.19$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1866848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Cheeki_Breeki50c85.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.994641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Cheeki_Breeki34c83.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7425253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d18…2b3dbacked Zero Tenacity65c81.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Cheeki_Breeki75c77.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0712065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity29c74.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Cheeki_Breeki40c71.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.937445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Zero Tenacity72c68.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2319951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Zero Tenacity74c66.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Cheeki_Breeki48c64.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.985354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Zero Tenacity55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7558250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Cheeki_Breeki39c51.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Cheeki_Breeki40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015942.8%68 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Cheeki_Breeki79c49.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Cheeki_Breeki51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.276860.3%41 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4869…bbd0backed Zero Tenacity50c44.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Cheeki_Breeki55c44.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2610751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Cheeki_Breeki60c36.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1931659.8%189 W · 127 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Cheeki_Breeki61c36.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Cheeki_Breeki48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.497142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Zero Tenacity52c29.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9910961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.295841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Cheeki_Breeki65c19.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8118156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Cheeki_Breeki60c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.