TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
7REXof INTZ e-Sports, 7REX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e6d…2671backed 7REX50c10,522$5,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.571,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked INTZ e-Sports11c5,220$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.791,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked INTZ e-Sports2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed INTZ e-Sports50c3,800$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.9950647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed INTZ e-Sports33c3,346$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6154246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed 7REX76c3,275$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.241,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 7REX72c2,950$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.661,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed 7REX42c2,512$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.8351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed INTZ e-Sports50c2,482$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.2994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked 7REX50c2,481$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.1390537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed INTZ e-Sports26c2,329$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.1699338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed INTZ e-Sports40c2,159$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.121,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed INTZ e-Sports54c2,087$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.2416254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed INTZ e-Sports55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed INTZ e-Sports58c1,939$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.6626443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 7REX41c1,915$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.673,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed INTZ e-Sports61c1,505$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.2963161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed INTZ e-Sports35c1,427$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.6516339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked INTZ e-Sports1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked INTZ e-Sports19c1,179$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8320826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed 7REX43c1,061$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.372,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed 7REX63c1,016$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.813647.1%64 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 7REX44c968.82$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.73,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed INTZ e-Sports52c937.55$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.144042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed 7REX54c917.6$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.4219053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked INTZ e-Sports50c910$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.081,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked 7REX64c887.89$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed 7REX65c786.86$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1878043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e9…895dbacked INTZ e-Sports54c779.99$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.52060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked 7REX42c776.35$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.6732036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked INTZ e-Sports58c609.35$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0960538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc0…9d48backed INTZ e-Sports19c605.23$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.212650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed 7REX46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.991,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed 7REX48c484.47$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8728350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked INTZ e-Sports39c430.05$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.142,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed 7REX43c414.61$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.337733.8%26 W · 51 L-10.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked 7REX42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcb…5085backed 7REX49c393.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023656.8%134 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed INTZ e-Sports56c385.19$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked 7REX45c377.28$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5726448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6e…1ebfbacked INTZ e-Sports55c373.08$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.698243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked INTZ e-Sports25c352.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5440231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed 7REX46c343.64$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.914748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48d1…8fe6backed INTZ e-Sports59c331.55$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.256749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828b…a13fbacked INTZ e-Sports53c322.45$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8610450%52 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked INTZ e-Sports47c315.8$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9332566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed 7REX49c314.79$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed INTZ e-Sports18c312.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.891,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed 7REX44c308.29$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1731,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed INTZ e-Sports56c302.63$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9338342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed INTZ e-Sports59c298.2$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9432160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde70…81fdbacked INTZ e-Sports49c282.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed INTZ e-Sports18c279.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.851,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed 7REX45c267.13$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7423938.1%91 W · 148 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed INTZ e-Sports52c264.02$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9474344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a3c…5727backed INTZ e-Sports59c252.68$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.084146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a9…5225backed INTZ e-Sports13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.58739.1%34 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce51…1ddbbacked INTZ e-Sports58c240.23$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.412657.9%73 W · 53 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed 7REX42c238.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.434030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed 7REX45c216.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2817658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed INTZ e-Sports57c209.3$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.313933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked INTZ e-Sports40c202.72$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed INTZ e-Sports50c202.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3794144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed INTZ e-Sports61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12257151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 7REX56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8869644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked 7REX42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11663646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked 7REX76c192.02$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.085160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed INTZ e-Sports53c188.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.120756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed 7REX42c174.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.380150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf6a…1ddbbacked INTZ e-Sports57c174.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.41952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4339…3f3cbacked INTZ e-Sports57c170.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed INTZ e-Sports59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5464451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed 7REX61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.486251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed INTZ e-Sports52c156.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.372,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 7REX51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.581,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked INTZ e-Sports33c145.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5448652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed INTZ e-Sports25c139.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8682836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked 7REX45c133.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2829944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ced8backed 7REX72c133.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9432371.2%230 W · 93 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked INTZ e-Sports25c133.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7749514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa2a2…d960backed INTZ e-Sports54c126.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed INTZ e-Sports59c121.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.831,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked 7REX49c120.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2316240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked 7REX44c117.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7330035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed 7REX58c115.46$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0236647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked INTZ e-Sports57c113.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4739044.6%174 W · 216 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…0c34backed INTZ e-Sports51c110.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.313740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked INTZ e-Sports56c109.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.084027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed INTZ e-Sports37c108.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed 7REX42c107.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2243837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 7REX50c107.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1895551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked INTZ e-Sports46c105.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.388938.2%34 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed 7REX75c105.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2724759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed INTZ e-Sports23c103.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.859345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked INTZ e-Sports57c102.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4517745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed INTZ e-Sports57c102.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3111246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked INTZ e-Sports59c102.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.318065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked INTZ e-Sports58c100.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4911145%50 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed INTZ e-Sports57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717739%69 W · 108 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85f…bb16backed INTZ e-Sports50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.