CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576db1d89183097ee8d1790e0ff2aa725454b461e8d3ce027f2227f1a874ee92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Lavked | 9c | 3,868$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.59 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Lavked | 5c | 599.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Lavked | 53c | 502$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked Walczaki | 62c | 388.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Lavked | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lavked | 38c | 286.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Lavked | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked | 40c | 230$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Lavked | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…7a1ebacked Lavked | 8c | 186.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Walczaki | 68c | 165.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 76c | 151.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Lavked | 28c | 59.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Walczaki | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Walczaki | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 57c | 42.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Walczaki | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Walczaki | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Walczaki | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Walczaki | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Walczaki | 61c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group StageWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.