CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5029026b92822edb2c5afdcc623f8869338ee356ad7b2e095cd8498870aeaa38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Lavked | 43c | 819.97$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Lavked | 38c | 600$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lavked | 44c | 586.43$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.03 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 47c | 547.36$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Walczaki | 55c | 483.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Lavked | 46c | 440$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked | 14c | 413.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…19a0backed Walczaki | 80c | 400$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 66c | 354.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Lavked | 48c | 334$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 79c | 313.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lavked | 29c | 308.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Walczaki | 54c | 306.29$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Lavked | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aec4backed Walczaki | 54c | 204.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Walczaki | 65c | 201.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 52c | 196.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Lavked | 12c | 175.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki | 62c | 172.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Walczaki | 54c | 167.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Walczaki | 54c | 162$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Walczaki | 59c | 144.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 78c | 137$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…7e23backed Lavked | 16c | 125.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 22c | 120.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lavked | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Lavked | 15c | 105.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Walczaki | 55c | 105.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Walczaki | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Walczaki | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Walczaki | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 53c | 99.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Walczaki | 55c | 98.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 56c | 97.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Walczaki | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 73c | 84.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Walczaki | 54c | 82.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Walczaki | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Walczaki | 78c | 74.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Lavked | 25c | 59.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed Lavked | 32c | 55.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…f273backed Walczaki | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked Lavked | 28c | 44.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Walczaki | 74c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Walczaki | 54c | 38.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Lavked | 43c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Lavked | 45c | 25.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Walczaki | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Walczaki | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Walczaki | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Walczaki | 76c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.