Lol · resolved market
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a6a081b654992d2c0fa1ee8b91c0adb46105a51c16a6b50e39d713d80459f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof PCIFIC , Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed PCIFIC | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PCIFIC | 4c | 1,041$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed PCIFIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked PCIFIC | 2c | 971.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked PCIFIC | 12c | 837.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed PCIFIC | 6c | 834$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 491.67$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PCIFIC | 45c | 373.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 343.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed PCIFIC | 46c | 323.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 355 | 60.8%216 W · 139 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PCIFIC | 54c | 306$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed PCIFIC | 7c | 271$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PCIFIC | 42c | 252.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 199.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed PCIFIC | 17c | 194$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked PCIFIC | 56c | 177.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked PCIFIC | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 150.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked PCIFIC | 47c | 147.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…027cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed PCIFIC | 19c | 105.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed PCIFIC | 49c | 96.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 96.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 94.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 89.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 81.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed PCIFIC | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 56.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed PCIFIC | 63c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 52.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed PCIFIC | 59c | 44.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1,255 | 54.1%679 W · 576 L | -30.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 263 | 63.9%168 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 38.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked PCIFIC | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1d8dbacked PCIFIC | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 32.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 355 | 46.8%166 W · 189 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked PCIFIC | 42c | 30.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 398 | 7%28 W · 370 L | -123.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed PCIFIC | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,257 | 52.8%664 W · 593 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…0cb3backed PCIFIC | 43c | 28.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 349 | 43.6%152 W · 197 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked PCIFIC | 39c | 26.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 272 | 50.7%138 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed PCIFIC | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.