Lol · resolved market
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568b93e5c83fe2be5d749d8160d130417d11e34d4ad2bb777a3b8be2c0726883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof PCIFIC , Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked PCIFIC | 3c | 3,577$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed PCIFIC | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 1,844$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.23 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 1,280$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.68 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…0a52backed PCIFIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed PCIFIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 855.65$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.19 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 817$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.5 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed PCIFIC | 66c | 648.63$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.19 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Bushido Wildcats | 3c | 400$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 399.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.43 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked PCIFIC | 51c | 394$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed PCIFIC | 61c | 390$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed PCIFIC | 61c | 320.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…cc35backed PCIFIC | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 237.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.66 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 207.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked PCIFIC | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 181.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked PCIFIC | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked PCIFIC | 63c | 149.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked PCIFIC | 57c | 122.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked PCIFIC | 59c | 107.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked PCIFIC | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked PCIFIC | 62c | 96.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 93.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PCIFIC | 52c | 86.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 77.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 69.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed PCIFIC | 33c | 61.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 57.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 56.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed PCIFIC | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9a…ecbfbacked PCIFIC | 75c | 53.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked PCIFIC | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…b594backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 39.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed PCIFIC | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked PCIFIC | 50c | 32.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed PCIFIC | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed PCIFIC | 62c | 28.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…35b1backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 27.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.