TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06c0…e618backed LYON62c16,499$10,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,248.527957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Sentinels40c14,838$5,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,940.8551044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Sentinels41c10,409$4,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,284.5567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Sentinels37c9,720$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.0311643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed LYON60c9,521$5,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.348149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON61c9,500$5,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.9991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels14c5,023$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.641,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Sentinels1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50684.4%3 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Sentinels56c4,306$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.541,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Sentinels39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b7…768cbacked Sentinels73c3,757$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.0122355.6%124 W · 99 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON58c3,445$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.371,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels18c3,169$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.695041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Sentinels39c2,887$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.671,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels52c2,679$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.2583560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Sentinels40c2,542$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.9763546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels41c2,500$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0242,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LYON62c2,227$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.381,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LYON50c2,095$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.631,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked LYON58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84051160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed LYON60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Sentinels37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels41c1,942$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.373,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed LYON59c1,864$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.4113647.1%64 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels18c1,766$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.031,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked LYON60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6715644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Sentinels14c1,600$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels26c1,447$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1476142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed LYON59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9354246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON74c1,345$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.681,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Sentinels31c1,300$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0664247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Sentinels13c1,269$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8585442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels14c1,250$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.411,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON65c1,233$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON67c1,221$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.081,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels40c1,217$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.9795951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Sentinels56c1,001$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.6771249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed LYON66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Sentinels54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x020b…44a8backed LYON60c911.26$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.26977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec0…5ff3backed Sentinels38c907.89$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LYON79c871.1$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5152848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked LYON35c867.22$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.7336040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed Sentinels15c866.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307628.9%22 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sentinels38c856.01$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.533,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Sentinels7c850$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked LYON65c818.65$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.915147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Sentinels52c799.97$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9935346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LYON33c756.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.1786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Sentinels42c722.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LYON65c707.95$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7867760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON61c701.02$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.732,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Sentinels42c675$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1114429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed LYON68c650$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3846263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked Sentinels40c629.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Sentinels39c629.38$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3185652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON32c628.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.671,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Sentinels60c610.42$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1686943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels37c601.44$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.151,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Sentinels41c600$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5217749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Sentinels57c580.63$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2557151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Sentinels70c555.57$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6414930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed LYON27c555.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5543642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sentinels39c555$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked LYON59c553.81$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0648652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed LYON34c540.54$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0762158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Sentinels38c531.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LYON63c523.84$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.561,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed LYON52c516.19$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.021,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sentinels38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Sentinels53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26537039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Sentinels36c494.09$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2975630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked LYON64c471.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3126844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Sentinels38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15286649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed LYON76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9686758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Sentinels42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16817339.3%68 W · 105 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked LYON43c400$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23033125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed LYON27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29217942.5%76 W · 103 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed LYON36c380.3$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.347933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ee…3b01backed Sentinels72c378.36$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed LYON53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3639450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked LYON43c364$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.21,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sentinels27c360.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.741,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Sentinels41c323.32$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.398956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LYON47c312.69$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.482,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Sentinels40c312.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12551348.3%248 W · 265 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked LYON68c310.31$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.31,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed LYON30c310.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6782836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Sentinels38c308.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0913538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed LYON65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6941060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed LYON65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6950051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Sentinels48c300.02$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4241439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked LYON58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked LYON37c277$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5137633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Sentinels39c270$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.316647.6%79 W · 87 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sentinels48c266$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.741,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LYON67c255$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.152,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed LYON67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed LYON63c250$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.516762.3%104 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.