Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe749a3774e36c0add2c61c5e8cbae419823daea76d513067fe93f60327c40ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Zero Tenacity | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 12,431$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 10,868$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.4 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 9,608$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.89 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 8,800$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.39 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 8,708$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.29 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 8,353$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.42 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 6,827$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.47 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 6,666$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.6 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 6,462$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 5,125$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.26 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 5,011$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.21 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 4,671$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.77 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 3,742$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.23 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 3,705$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 3,622$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.51 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 3,308$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 3,083$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.13 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 3,031$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.82 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 2,905$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.09 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 2,493$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 2,058$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 1,973$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.4 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 1,758$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.34 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,683$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.12 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 1,682$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.43 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 1,645$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.34 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 1,612$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.45 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 1,599$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.42 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 1,531$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 1,504$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.44 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 1,415$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.63 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 1,346$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.84 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 1,214$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 1,198$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.88 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 1,118$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed Zero Tenacity | 3c | 1,107$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Zero Tenacity | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 1,089$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 1,080$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.06 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,060$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.55 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,022$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 1,014$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.25 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Zero Tenacity | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Zero Tenacity | 4c | 997.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 995.81$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.49 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 993.96$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.49 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 989.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…073dbacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 897.74$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 887.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 882.66$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.82 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 865.59$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 863.35$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.48 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 858.16$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.53 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 842.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…0457backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 835.53$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 830$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 818.04$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.59 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 761.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 742.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 740.62$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 728.77$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.11 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 660.79$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity | 12c | 656.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 647.93$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.17 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 638.43$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 621.31$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.9 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 607.98$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 584.78$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.06 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 578.5$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 559.27$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.23 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 545.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.22 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 537.22$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 528.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…e138backed Zero Tenacity | 3c | 516.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 507.67$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 490.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 487$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 474$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 468.32$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 446.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 441.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 423.52$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 419.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 399.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.59 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 394.14$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 386.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 370.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 369.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 367.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 367.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.