MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde671cc0c747ca6406485d1e306af5198e5c87240cd1b1349c70be1092db60b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 53c | 425,561$225,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225,985.53 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 118,319$55,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,841.21 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 46c | 94,189$43,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,861.85 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 48c | 77,504$37,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,302.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 44,435$20,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,467.27 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 47c | 26,607$12,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,081.44 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 47c | 25,810$12,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,679.45 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Over | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 52c | 7,523$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,494$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.2 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 6,038$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.54 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 47c | 6,000$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 48c | 4,844$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 53c | 4,394$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.97 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 47c | 4,117$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.01 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,598$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 69c | 2,469$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.93 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 46c | 2,036$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.83 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,893$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.58 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,547$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 48c | 1,226$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.28 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 1,119$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.85 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,110$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.81 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 1,062$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.31 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 983.6$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.26 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 956$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.24 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 820.7$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.35 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 50c | 820.7$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.35 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 607.59$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.44 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 53c | 555.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 507.82$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Under | 53c | 460.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 447.61$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…08a1backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…18d6backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 43c | 354.54$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 341.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 47c | 338.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…a114backed Over | 75c | 327.77$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 317.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 214.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 210.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…2b3abacked Under | 43c | 200.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 194.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 174.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 60c | 172.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 39c | 158.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 47c | 118.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 47c | 110.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over | 47c | 110.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 109.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 48c | 101.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 67c | 96.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 47c | 95.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 47c | 86.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 52c | 85.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 60c | 84.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 73.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 73.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 48c | 73.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 51c | 71.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 53c | 68.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 65.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Over | 48c | 61.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 62c | 56.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 54.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 59c | 51.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Over | 49c | 47.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9260…1068backed Over | 48c | 46.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…3d00backed Over | 74c | 42.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 52c | 42.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 47c | 41.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 48c | 37.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Over | 58c | 35.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 43c | 33.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 32c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 38c | 32.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…ecb4backed Over | 47c | 31.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.