Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d13e92668fc7f914a4e68930c7cc4a7c38a7834cae19ed52b635f339b61de92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esprit Shōnenof Esprit Shōnen, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Galions | 47c | 3,488$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.77 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 57c | 3,191$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.98 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…02f3backed Galions | 34c | 1,271$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Esprit Shōnen | 57c | 952.45$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.87 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Galions | 42c | 822.5$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Esprit Shōnen | 69c | 730.83$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Esprit Shōnen | 38c | 606.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.06 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Galions | 32c | 317.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed Esprit Shōnen | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Galions | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Galions | 53c | 231.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Esprit Shōnen | 51c | 205.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Galions | 42c | 198.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Galions | 62c | 195.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 167.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 120$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 10cpaid | +650%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Galions | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…bff2backed Esprit Shōnen | 64c | 117.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Esprit Shōnen | 74c | 110.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Esprit Shōnen | 57c | 99.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Galions | 27c | 99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 36c | 90.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Galions | 45c | 74.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Galions | 63c | 67.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Esprit Shōnen | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Esprit Shōnen | 33c | 52.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Galions | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Esprit Shōnen | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Galions | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 78c | 45.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Galions | 47c | 42.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Esprit Shōnen | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Galions | 37c | 38.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…a980backed Esprit Shōnen | 68c | 38.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Esprit Shōnen | 37c | 38.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Galions | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…2b3abacked Galions | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +80%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…c3ffbacked Galions | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galions | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Galions | 57c | 22.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Galions | 60c | 21.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +196%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…c2f5backed Esprit Shōnen | 77c | 20.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Esprit Shōnen | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4807…f5babacked Galions | 62c | 17.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Galions (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5)Esprit Shōnen won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonEsprit Shōnen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.