MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Cuba
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x063bc37d01e81264b8e41a74732b8e62de3de1376a11f6b5395157b347fc61bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Puerto Ricoof Puerto Rico, Cuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Cuba | 25c | 3,986$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cuba | 0c | 3,549$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Puerto Rico | 75c | 2,689$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.68 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 2,429$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.57 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Puerto Rico | 74c | 1,773$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.96 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Cuba | 26c | 1,500$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Puerto Rico | 78c | 1,332$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Cuba | 25c | 1,039$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.94 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Cuba | 23c | 976.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Cuba | 24c | 763.59$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Cuba | 9c | 553.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…5943backed Cuba | 6c | 527.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cuba | 7c | 500.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Cuba | 3c | 499.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Cuba | 4c | 489.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Cuba | 25c | 426.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Cuba | 5c | 423.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Cuba | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b9…ca00backed Puerto Rico | 78c | 397.29$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 390.93$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…4c8dbacked Puerto Rico | 75c | 378.33$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cuba | 11c | 338.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Puerto Rico | 75c | 327.47$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cuba | 25c | 323$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cuba | 25c | 313$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…1432backed Puerto Rico | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Puerto Rico | 78c | 263.1$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cuba | 26c | 261.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Puerto Rico | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Cuba | 26c | 235.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 229.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Cuba | 26c | 193.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Puerto Rico | 77c | 192.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cuba | 22c | 184.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Puerto Rico | 74c | 167$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 159.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Puerto Rico | 75c | 159$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Puerto Rico | 76c | 156.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Cuba | 25c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cuba | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…ef31backed Puerto Rico | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cuba | 14c | 124.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Cuba | 23c | 115.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Cuba | 22c | 114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Cuba | 23c | 105.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed Puerto Rico | 79c | 105.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cuba | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cuba | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Cuba | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cuba | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Cuba | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Cuba | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Puerto Rico | 76c | 99.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cuba | 22c | 95.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d2…8b82backed Puerto Rico | 78c | 90.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cuba | 15c | 89.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Cuba | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…8db6backed Puerto Rico | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cuba | 24c | 80.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…1438backed Cuba | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Cuba | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…655cbacked Puerto Rico | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…85a5backed Cuba | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabc…46f4backed Puerto Rico | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cuba | 22c | 64.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cuba | 24c | 61.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Cuba | 23c | 58.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Cuba | 22c | 56.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Puerto Rico | 78c | 51.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Puerto Rico | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cuba | 26c | 45.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…bea8backed Cuba | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Puerto Rico | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cuba | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Puerto Rico | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Puerto Rico | 77c | 38.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Puerto Rico | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Puerto Rico | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Puerto Rico | 72c | 29.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66dd…893dbacked Puerto Rico | 74c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Puerto Rico | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…8918backed Puerto Rico | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Puerto Rico | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.