MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Nicaragua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9d4adc158bd8c367516b73ec40d3cf780cb920305f1661b4a876ef1358eded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netherlandsof Netherlands, Nicaragua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Nicaragua | 32c | 2,495$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…d991backed Netherlands | 73c | 1,851$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…da79backed Netherlands | 78c | 1,716$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nicaragua | 32c | 1,625$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.2 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Netherlands | 67c | 1,480$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.96 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicaragua | 28c | 1,049$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Netherlands | 55c | 930.11$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Netherlands | 72c | 847.67$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Netherlands | 71c | 843.55$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.55 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Netherlands | 71c | 765$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nicaragua | 27c | 746.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Netherlands | 73c | 669.95$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Netherlands | 52c | 651.91$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.38 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nicaragua | 26c | 570.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…38e4backed Nicaragua | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Netherlands | 23c | 478.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Nicaragua | 37c | 452.4$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…1432backed Netherlands | 72c | 444.54$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nicaragua | 51c | 417.27$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Netherlands | 70c | 411.5$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Netherlands | 66c | 404$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Nicaragua | 5c | 384.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +207%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Nicaragua | 30c | 380.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Nicaragua | 5c | 379.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…3bccbacked Nicaragua | 3c | 366.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nicaragua | 21c | 365.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Nicaragua | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Nicaragua | 26c | 268.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Netherlands | 27c | 259.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Netherlands | 77c | 259.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Nicaragua | 30c | 251.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Netherlands | 69c | 246.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…1a11backed Nicaragua | 5c | 225.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Netherlands | 68c | 203.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Nicaragua | 31c | 201.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nicaragua | 30c | 168.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Nicaragua | 23c | 167.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nicaragua | 31c | 149$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicaragua | 25c | 148.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Netherlands | 71c | 140.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nicaragua | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Netherlands | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Nicaragua | 30c | 113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Nicaragua | 10c | 106.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…c2b1backed Netherlands | 72c | 102.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Nicaragua | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Netherlands | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Netherlands | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Nicaragua | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Netherlands | 55c | 97.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nicaragua | 19c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nicaragua | 20c | 89.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…3d97backed Netherlands | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Netherlands | 70c | 85.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Netherlands | 59c | 81.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nicaragua | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nicaragua | 67c | 78.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Netherlands | 72c | 75.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Netherlands | 51c | 74.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Nicaragua | 21c | 74.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Netherlands | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed Netherlands | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nicaragua | 20c | 65.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Nicaragua | 29c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Netherlands | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…5831backed Nicaragua | 29c | 56.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nicaragua | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Nicaragua | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Netherlands | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…3ba7backed Netherlands | 70c | 42.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Nicaragua | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Netherlands | 68c | 37.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Nicaragua | 33c | 37.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Nicaragua | 28c | 37.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Netherlands | 73c | 35.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3f…13bbbacked Netherlands | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Netherlands | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…082cbacked Nicaragua | 42c | 27.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Netherlands | 50c | 24.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Netherlands | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…7c9abacked Netherlands | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Netherlands | 66c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Netherlands | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…40a4backed Netherlands | 72c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.