NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x901272b0e2637b949651f78a8848138ffa10c420aa69471d4263944eb436e69a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,422 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	49c	11,292$5,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,758.97	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	52c	6,889$3,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,582.38	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under	51c	5,197$2,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650.6	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	54c	5,192$2,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,798.24	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed Under	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under	51c	4,679$2,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,386.3	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under	1c	3,500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	3,172$1,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,635.25	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	46c	3,153$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,709.22	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under	1c	2,400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	4cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	48c	2,070$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.4	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+4.4wins	+0.17per pick	6cpaid	+428%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	45c	1,737$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.98	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked Under	41c	1,533$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.9	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Under	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Under	51c	1,416$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.07	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	47c	1,394$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under	2c	1,200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	52c	999.99$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over	48c	936$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.72	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	58c	805.72$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.88	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under	3c	800$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	302	24.8%75 W · 227 L	+15.5wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under	49c	640$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.02	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over	59c	630.24$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.31	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over	48c	630$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.6	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	55c	597.16$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.89	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over	48c	550.02$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.28	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…072cbacked Over	56c	539.98$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.98	168	62.5%105 W · 63 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Over	39c	513.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.16	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+6.6wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Under	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under	57c	438$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.66	206	38.3%79 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	52c	400$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	52c	383.49$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.93	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	53c	327.24$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.43	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	53c	327.11$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.18	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	54c	291.19$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.81	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	42c	287.95$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.96	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	58c	242.58$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.7	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over	47c	205.92$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.38	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…589ebacked Under	55c	200$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under	51c	176$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.55	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	55c	161.89$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.04	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	42c	160.81$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.97	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over	40c	148.98$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.99	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	47c	126.51$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.66	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	120.67$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.96	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	48c	115.81$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.22	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	52c	112.67$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.84	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	42c	107.33$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.66	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under	58c	94.82$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	127	47.2%60 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	90.55$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.73	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	48c	83.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	44c	76$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.56	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Over	47c	76$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under	73c	74.07$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.36	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	126	61.1%77 W · 49 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under	52c	59$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	58c	56.52$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.78	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over	52c	53.35$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.61	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Over	45c	52.6$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.93	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.14	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under	27c	49.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	146	36.3%53 W · 93 L	+16.4wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under	53c	38.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	52c	38.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…04bbbacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	54c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	274	63.5%174 W · 100 L	+34.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	69c	34.72$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.76	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	45c	28.67$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under	69c	18.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5this page
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Grizzlies won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
GG Jackson II: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 11.5No won
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesTrail Blazers won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event