South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa039ea2102d5b3da2c33b04f93ed24d9d69c1a79bf62f423e0bb0f2831cc4473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 8,793$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.21 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 8,460$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 4,296$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.85 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 51c | 1,787$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…00e1backed Under | 59c | 1,354$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,349$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,167$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 967.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 68c | 730.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 48c | 676.78$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 57c | 526.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 521.8$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 67c | 386.3$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.82 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 54c | 336$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 56c | 309.4$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 59c | 266.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 46c | 252.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 198.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 192.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 40c | 189.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 48c | 155.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked Under | 62c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 60c | 139.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 138.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 107.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Under | 47c | 97.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 47c | 94.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 31c | 88.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 83.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 58c | 75.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…e2ddbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 50c | 69.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 63.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 37c | 61.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 41c | 59.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 57.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 31c | 56.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 41c | 49.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 57c | 46.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 39.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…ff2fbacked Under | 76c | 36.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Under | 42c | 35.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 71c | 30.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…0037backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 41c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…8b66backed Over | 69c | 24.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…2477backed Under | 62c | 23.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.