Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685d94a6ada617dfb0f338e04e0108c244e109f0050448a91567229d32f622a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Bearkatsof Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 76c | 14,983$11,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 6,156$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 8c | 4,840$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.17 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 30c | 4,750$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.3 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 76c | 3,541$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 20c | 3,155$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 71c | 2,728$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.91 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 29c | 2,013$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 74c | 1,991$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 16c | 1,475$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 1,357$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 14c | 1,225$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 23c | 1,133$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 78c | 1,100$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 949.96$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 78c | 861.63$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 598.66$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 27c | 565.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 555.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 72c | 361.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 26c | 344.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 25c | 342.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 78c | 276.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 25c | 181.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 78c | 180.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 156.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 28c | 151.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 76c | 142.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 22c | 112.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 79c | 75.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 22c | 70.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 61.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 58.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 80c | 58.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 77c | 51.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 23c | 49.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 23c | 47.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 76c | 42.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…8886backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 74c | 27.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…b854backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 76c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.