TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

IU Indy Jaguars vs. Youngstown State Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Youngstown State Penguinsof IU Indy Jaguars, Youngstown State Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Youngstown State Penguins74c16,038$11,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.415,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked IU Indy Jaguars27c5,912$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.7461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea4…2effbacked IU Indy Jaguars1c5,240$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed IU Indy Jaguars25c3,465$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.363,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked IU Indy Jaguars27c2,300$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.631,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed IU Indy Jaguars29c2,101$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.346446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed IU Indy Jaguars18c1,914$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.162,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed IU Indy Jaguars13c1,848$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.072,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed IU Indy Jaguars16c1,605$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.061,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Youngstown State Penguins73c1,410$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Youngstown State Penguins72c1,399$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.314122%9 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked IU Indy Jaguars17c1,042$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.541,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Youngstown State Penguins68c1,022$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.364973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed IU Indy Jaguars31c958.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Youngstown State Penguins68c843.33$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.333426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars22c789.34$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.041,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed IU Indy Jaguars4c753$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.332,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed IU Indy Jaguars28c719.62$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19923028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked IU Indy Jaguars32c635$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.11,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars17c629.56$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.224,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed IU Indy Jaguars24c623.54$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5838343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed IU Indy Jaguars19c559$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2131646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed IU Indy Jaguars30c411.58$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed IU Indy Jaguars24c408.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed IU Indy Jaguars36c377.74$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Youngstown State Penguins58c346.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.151241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked IU Indy Jaguars7c318.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed IU Indy Jaguars31c312.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1119641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars30c311.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.433,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked IU Indy Jaguars31c275.33$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked IU Indy Jaguars32c269.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.349442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked IU Indy Jaguars26c262.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.577250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Youngstown State Penguins70c250.23$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2325544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ac…e753backed IU Indy Jaguars29c218.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6b…1fdebacked IU Indy Jaguars30c217.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.341136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Youngstown State Penguins77c209.13$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.691,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked Youngstown State Penguins78c208.97$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.972458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Youngstown State Penguins73c195$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.928362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed IU Indy Jaguars16c190$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.46319%12 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed IU Indy Jaguars29c184.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed IU Indy Jaguars23c168.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c6…5051backed IU Indy Jaguars24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed IU Indy Jaguars30c153.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2825239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked IU Indy Jaguars28c139.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.869134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e7cbacked IU Indy Jaguars27c129.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.644843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb43c…1caebacked IU Indy Jaguars31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed IU Indy Jaguars25c127.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.541,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe221…5334backed IU Indy Jaguars30c121.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed IU Indy Jaguars29c111.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.12948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Youngstown State Penguins76c111$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1345953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed IU Indy Jaguars23c107.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.742065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed IU Indy Jaguars33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed IU Indy Jaguars31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.725325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888d…2dd6backed IU Indy Jaguars33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked IU Indy Jaguars20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked IU Indy Jaguars16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Youngstown State Penguins72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2817062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked IU Indy Jaguars16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed IU Indy Jaguars38c97.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked IU Indy Jaguars23c86.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.793240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f8…22c7backed IU Indy Jaguars30c78.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked IU Indy Jaguars14c75.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.524,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed IU Indy Jaguars23c75.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.172748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Youngstown State Penguins68c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Youngstown State Penguins79c72.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked IU Indy Jaguars30c72.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed IU Indy Jaguars28c72.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked IU Indy Jaguars33c71.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f8…3ec6backed IU Indy Jaguars41c70.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed IU Indy Jaguars31c68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8627358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3848…c528backed Youngstown State Penguins71c63.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed IU Indy Jaguars32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5129…67afbacked IU Indy Jaguars16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fc…314dbacked IU Indy Jaguars16c61.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.055947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b0…b854backed Youngstown State Penguins74c60.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.481154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3e…4c45backed IU Indy Jaguars37c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb038…ff5fbacked IU Indy Jaguars31c46.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Youngstown State Penguins76c44.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6622953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeba…3d1dbacked Youngstown State Penguins65c40.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad38…432bbacked IU Indy Jaguars25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Youngstown State Penguins74c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2331666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Youngstown State Penguins68c32.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.254060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Youngstown State Penguins62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.268350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Youngstown State Penguins63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.367844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf2…a4acbacked Youngstown State Penguins70c28.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.643100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Youngstown State Penguins69c28.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Youngstown State Penguins75c21.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Youngstown State Penguins67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9314354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cab…1d6cbacked Youngstown State Penguins71c15.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.