CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3dbe8286a59d438b314abcf44578c322b6521b1fe03d2f737900a7f64a1ca07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinners | 37c | 20,833$7,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,710.63 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1WIN | 60c | 15,217$9,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed 1WIN | 61c | 8,353$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.51 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1WIN | 56c | 1,791$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.94 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed 1WIN | 61c | 1,764$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Sinners | 17c | 1,615$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked Sinners | 48c | 1,050$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Sinners | 1c | 1,012$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2b…dde9backed Sinners | 36c | 957.57$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Sinners | 43c | 924.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 56c | 648.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Sinners | 42c | 627.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.74 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed 1WIN | 74c | 525$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sinners | 24c | 472.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Sinners | 32c | 428.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Sinners | 35c | 306.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed 1WIN | 64c | 280.18$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Sinners | 37c | 264.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed 1WIN | 56c | 168.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 1WIN | 43c | 162.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Sinners | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 38c | 142.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…a0a2backed Sinners | 38c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…12f1backed Sinners | 33c | 104.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…5ca1backed Sinners | 31c | 101.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed 1WIN | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Sinners | 39c | 98.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 1WIN | 56c | 98.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 1WIN | 60c | 95.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sinners | 39c | 89.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Sinners | 49c | 87.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…147fbacked Sinners | 39c | 84.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed Sinners | 32c | 82.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Sinners | 37c | 80.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed 1WIN | 75c | 68.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked 1WIN | 56c | 66.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners | 34c | 65.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked 1WIN | 71c | 64.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Sinners | 39c | 59.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…59f9backed Sinners | 32c | 44.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…3550backed Sinners | 36c | 44.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed Sinners | 59c | 42.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed 1WIN | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked 1WIN | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Sinners | 38c | 33.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Sinners | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked Sinners | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.