CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7410688df6c2fa8dac2f96875186574ba9373becb731d71dba255ad05e24e01a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof 1WIN, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinners | 54c | 36,154$19,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,682.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1WIN | 44c | 28,028$12,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,356.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed 1WIN | 60c | 8,272$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.97 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed 1WIN | 28c | 5,091$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.6 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1WIN | 42c | 1,887$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.56 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed 1WIN | 64c | 823.88$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.31 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Sinners | 64c | 804.81$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sinners | 46c | 790.88$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Sinners | 33c | 622.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Sinners | 41c | 504.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 32c | 492.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 1WIN | 29c | 492.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Sinners | 47c | 407.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.02 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Sinners | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Sinners | 46c | 292.34$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Sinners | 25c | 229.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners | 30c | 213.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Sinners | 19c | 209.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Sinners | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…27d0backed Sinners | 73c | 158.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Sinners | 46c | 157.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sinners | 37c | 136.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed 1WIN | 70c | 119.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Sinners | 38c | 104.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed Sinners | 50c | 97.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Sinners | 21c | 94.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…4266backed Sinners | 79c | 74.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Sinners | 18c | 73.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…84aebacked Sinners | 24c | 71.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…6b39backed Sinners | 57c | 64.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1WIN | 65c | 57.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed Sinners | 58c | 56.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Sinners | 33c | 46.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…3550backed Sinners | 35c | 45.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 1WIN | 60c | 41.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Sinners | 32c | 40.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…a0a2backed Sinners | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Sinners | 35c | 37.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked Sinners | 79c | 22.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 68c | 15.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.