Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165d1260ddd91ca84f61f81712ce0489e59a255bbdb37793567752c71e313cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland State Vikingsof Cleveland State Vikings, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7312…dea7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 77c | 2,345$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 68c | 2,226$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 63c | 2,021$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.51 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 1,958$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.78 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Green Bay Phoenix | 30c | 1,443$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.17 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 75c | 1,389$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.75 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 776.62$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.52 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 753.91$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.82 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 510.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 478.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Green Bay Phoenix | 24c | 478.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 416.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…dc99backed Cleveland State Vikings | 69c | 400$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 392.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Green Bay Phoenix | 57c | 351.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 72c | 344.8$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Green Bay Phoenix | 33c | 338.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cleveland State Vikings | 37c | 268.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 248.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 22c | 247.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Green Bay Phoenix | 18c | 244.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 66c | 220.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 216.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 76c | 211.87$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 195.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…e753backed Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 191.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 24c | 161.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 138.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 123.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…79a5backed Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 115.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +160%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 109.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 107.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Green Bay Phoenix | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 77c | 98.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Cleveland State Vikings | 58c | 96.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 81.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 24c | 78.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 42c | 74.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed Green Bay Phoenix | 37c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Cleveland State Vikings | 65c | 59.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 28c | 58.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 48.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 46.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 39.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 53c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cab…1d6cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 75c | 27.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…a90ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…b324backed Cleveland State Vikings | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Cleveland State Vikings | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…59f9backed Cleveland State Vikings | 61c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Cleveland State Vikings | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Green Bay Phoenix | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…0decbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 63c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked Green Bay Phoenix | 79c | 16.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…f0c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-7.5)Cleveland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.