South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc433679f01648432ba138392ccc1d85dfd886bb01b7c27cdc9f2840bf5080dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 32c | 15,722$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.74 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 13,646$9,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 11,010$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 49c | 4,351$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 43c | 2,304$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 1,484$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 61c | 1,357$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 1,074$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 22c | 834.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 481.94$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 21c | 469.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 370.87$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Over | 34c | 366.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 36c | 355.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 50c | 344$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Over | 43c | 304.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 50c | 291.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…678abacked Over | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 70c | 223.17$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 47c | 191.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 28c | 176$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 55c | 171.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 39c | 149.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Over | 50c | 119.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 62c | 103.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 50c | 76.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 57c | 51.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 66c | 43.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…4f18backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 70c | 41.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 58c | 40.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 35c | 38.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Under | 72c | 36.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Under | 62c | 32.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Under | 63c | 28.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Under | 70c | 24.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.