Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a75687a4ec140f9b34ec50ce78f6f3ff6b656d01c86593480eab644231dcbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 2,789$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.01 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 79c | 2,271$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,883$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.63 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 915.81$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.16 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 61c | 797$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 71c | 703.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 617.91$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.94 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 54c | 291.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 66c | 183.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 79c | 173.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 34c | 167$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Over | 71c | 161.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 53c | 131.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 20c | 113.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 49.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 71c | 45.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 67c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Over | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.