Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97023579a37d521b95fbf5a8b3ac0f1c8519090251243294b72139f878379b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 10,320$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.63 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 54c | 6,600$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 58c | 5,140$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 4,617$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Under | 44c | 4,016$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 2,011$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.04 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 51c | 1,350$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 51c | 956.86$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 832$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 797.45$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.43 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 672.89$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 61c | 500.01$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 308.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 46c | 227.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Under | 44c | 181.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 179.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 175.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 50c | 121.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 117.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 42c | 81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 43c | 72.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 42c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 42c | 36.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Over | 51c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 31.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 31.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 30.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Over | 51c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 52c | 27.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 50c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 58c | 20.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.