Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd982a337efa26095a0b4ba62c8dbf9d9086795b7f2d072a717680aa5673170e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sydney FCof Auckland FC, Sydney FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Auckland FC | 22c | 3,497$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.39 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Sydney FC | 78c | 1,985$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Auckland FC | 32c | 1,214$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Sydney FC | 78c | 1,108$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sydney FC | 78c | 1,044$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.61 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sydney FC | 69c | 557.12$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Auckland FC | 31c | 511.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Auckland FC | 30c | 328.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Auckland FC | 29c | 198$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sydney FC | 78c | 196.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Sydney FC | 69c | 178.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Sydney FC | 69c | 172.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Sydney FC | 70c | 165.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Sydney FC | 70c | 163.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Sydney FC | 69c | 160.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Auckland FC | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Sydney FC | 78c | 138.27$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Auckland FC | 32c | 47.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Sydney FC | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auckland FC | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sydney FC | 68c | 32.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Sydney FC | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sydney FC | 69c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)this page
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.