Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b07c18d85aad34cb39b492a86a5a0f134768169fedc11388f5cf9d5e90916c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,019$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.34 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 664.19$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.05 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 59c | 571.49$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 464.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.63 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 58c | 298.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 191.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 113.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 87.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 87.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 87.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 53c | 84.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 73.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 56c | 65.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 42c | 44.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 57c | 34.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 54c | 34.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 52c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…4175backed Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.