Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa203dcebb1499a85884c39d0c6f62fbb9f88d5b73ed1f0a7f56e590a4e9fed03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 1,352$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 175.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 23c | 125.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 89.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…14e4backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 78c | 32.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 32.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 77c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.