Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f93475aef84ec05968c3504c9b6015ef90ffa149c603c0bd97bcd91edbfad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 54c | 918.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 525.62$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.45 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 313.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…720dbacked Over | 33c | 304.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 51c | 202.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 139.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 112.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 70.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 49c | 61.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…0e2abacked Over | 59c | 58.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 57.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 37c | 55.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Over | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 62c | 39.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…5d2bbacked Under | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 33c | 36.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 67c | 25.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 69c | 20.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Under | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.