Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f7e1db259848e59a991929a8e6f9a5469dc1c1665b8f434df4b7a834dbbb7e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 3,919$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 3,207$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.11 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 54c | 2,209$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.49 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 54c | 1,978$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 1,532$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.07 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 1,298$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.25 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 1,081$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.22 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 703.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 56c | 465.18$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 45c | 363.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 53c | 356.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 31c | 242.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 45c | 219.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 64c | 195.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 16c | 185.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 47c | 161.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 54c | 157.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Over | 54c | 121.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 120.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 44c | 110.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…bfaabacked Under | 48c | 109.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 102.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 94.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 59.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…2c38backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…0e2abacked Over | 54c | 38.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7fdfbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…8124backed Over | 54c | 32.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 70c | 29.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 21.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.