Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaac97052feba79da63547ccb6d21c3ac96445bf476ae2ccc7d36670c191563c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 4,595$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.89 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,927$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.33 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 65c | 2,884$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.78 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 762.84$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.48 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 77c | 648.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 76c | 511.11$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 462.32$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 53c | 338.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 265.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 63c | 199.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 69c | 171$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 60c | 145$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Over | 51c | 128.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 60c | 116.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 56c | 115.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 15c | 67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…0e2abacked Over | 78c | 65.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 43c | 63.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 57.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 45c | 55.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 30.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.